This is a very well written book that explains how probability works in terms of numbers and their interpretation. It does so with great humour and patientce. I suspect we all make probablity based statements (as I have just done!) yet the accuracy and interpretation of them may be doubtful. This book helps us sort out what is likely to be valid from what is loikely to be invalid- and this is at the level of the actual statistics we start from and then our interpretations around them. He follows on in the line of books such as Darrell Huff's How to Lie with Statisticsand David McRaney's You Are Not So Smart: Why You Have Too Many Friends on Facebook, Why Your Memory Is Mostly Fiction, and 46 Other Ways You're Deluding Yourself
Childers has created a great universal character- Prokop- who is a rugged individualist- who hates being stereotyped- as he isn't an example of anything thank you very much! In short he's a unique individual...just like we all are (probably, but we're also all a bit similar too) The explanations made using Prokop and his life experiences make light work of coming to understand some significant concepts around probability and philosophy.
I thoroughly enjoyed this book. For the first chapters I'd have given it 5 stars. What it missed was a really good concluding summary chapter. It just finished.
This is a very good book for all those of us who use numbers in our work and wonder if they are measured properly to start with, and then whether we are interpreting them fairly and accurately.BY:ebook777.com